NiGEM v1.12

• EFN Forecast files: on website
• NiGEM v1.12-a: (forecast only) on website
• NIESR Review: on website
• NiGEM v1.12-b: on website (final release version)

Details of current changes v1.12-a to v1.12-b & v4.11-b to v1.12-a

A stochastic forecast trial run on v1.12-a using residual shocks drawn from 1993-2011. Execution and stochastic window: 2011-2017. Solvency off for 5 years

EUROFRAME Group’s latest report giving GDP and inflation projections for the euro area to 2013. The report also contains projections of key economic variables for the major EU countries. It analyses the economic effects on the euro area of banking recapitalisation and financial uncertainty

The PDF file contains the complete press release for this forecast while the WinZip file contains the following NiGEM files:

Central EFN forecast
Downside scenario
Upside scenario

The EuroFrame Network website can be accessed here